BBM up 5% since Feb, VP Leni static in 2nd place

Posted by PUBLiCUS In Pahayag, Press Release 0 comment

Support for the presidential bid of former senator Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. appears to have grown modestly during the official campaign period while support for Vice President Ma. Leonor “Leni” Robredo’s campaign remains static, according to the latest pre-election survey conducted by PUBLiCUS between April 19-21, 2022.

57% of the 1,500 registered Filipino voters who participated in the PAHAYAG National Tracker: April Survey chose Marcos as their presidential bet.

“Marcos is the only presidential candidate who has notched a statistically significant increase in voter preference during the campaign period. He has gained 5 percent over the past two months after notching an initial preference share of 52% on our February survey,” said Mr. Aureli Sinsuat, Executive Director of PUBLiCUS, on the April 25 episode of the PAHAYAG Election Report.

In contrast, Sinsuat noted that Robredo’s presidential preference numbers have consistently hovered between 20 to 23% on the six pre-election surveys conducted by PUBLiCUS between October 2021 and the third week of April 2022. 21% said they would vote for Robredo on the latest survey.

“Based on our numbers, Marcos now leads Robredo by 36% moving into the final two weeks of the campaign period,” Sinsuat added.

Davao City Mayor “Inday Sara” Duterte-Carpio also continues to lead the vice presidential race according to the most recent PUBLiCUS survey, earning 59% of the vote among respondents.

Sinsuat noted that Duterte-Carpio has also notched a significant 5% increase in voter preference since the second week of February when she earned a preference share of 54%.

Senator Francis “Kiko” Pangilinan and Senate President Vicente “Tito” Sotto III are statistically tied for second place after notching preference shares of 15% and 9%, respectively. Duterte-Carpio leads Pangilinan by 44% on the April 19 to 21 survey.

PAHAYAG National Tracker: April is an independent and non-commissioned nationwide purposive sampling survey conducted by PUBLiCUS between April 19 to 21, 2022. The 1,500 respondents who participated in the survey were randomly drawn by the Singapore office of American firm PureSpectrum from its market research panel of over 200,000 Filipinos.

The final survey panel was restricted to registered voters. Parameters based on respondent age, gender, and location were also utilized in the sample formulation in order for the resulting sample to conform more closely to the features of the voting population, as defined by statistics from the Commission on Elections.

The nationwide margin of error is +/- 3%. The margin of error is +/- ~7% in NCR and +/- 6% in other regional groupings.

Note from PureSpectrum: “PureSpectrum is a US-based panel marketplace with multinational presence. Samples provided by PureSpectrum are not affiliated with any bias or political party. All opinions voiced in the interpretation and analyses of the data are those of the writer and/or project sponsor.”