EXECUTIVE SUMMARY – FINDINGS OF PAHAYAG NCR POLL
When asked how many senators they voted for in the 2013 and 2016 elections, only 47% voted for a complete lineup. Most of them come from the 25-34 years old age group and the sector that has never worked. 28% from the 55 years old and above group cannot recall how many people they voted for.
Nancy Binay, Grace Poe, and Cynthia Villar have the highest awareness ratings among the personalities. Jinggoy Estrada, Cynthia Villar, Sonny Angara, Freddie Aguilar, Francis Tolentino and JV Ejercito have the highest awareness rating in the 45 to 55 years old age bracket. The 18-24 years old bracket registered low awareness ratings in almost half of the candidates listed.
Samira Gutoc-Tomawis, Florin Hilbay, Danilo Roleda, Larry Gadon, and Zajid Mangudadatu have the lowest awareness ratings among the senatoriables.
Grace Poe tops the list of most trusted candidates at 34%. She enjoys a big lead from the second placer, Nancy Villar, who is at 20%. Nancy Binay, JV Ejercito, Jinggoy Estrada, and Bong Go have relatively higher trust ratings with those who have never worked and Class ABC. All re-electionists belong the top 10 most trusted senatoriables. Bong Revilla and Mar Roxas have a low trust ratings with Class ABC.
Voting for re-electionists and new faces
Across all demographics, 72% will vote for both re-electionists and new faces. More people will vote for re-electionists than new faces.
The Magic 12
The Magic 12 in NCR is a combination of re-electionists, comebackers and neophytes. Top 5 that the respondents would vote for are Grace Poe, Pia Cayetano, Cynthia Villar, Nancy Binay, and Lito Lapid. Senate neophytes in the list are Bato Dela Rosa and Imee Marcos. Bam Aquino, JV Ejercito, Jinggoy Estrada, Koko Pimentel, and Imee Marcos are tied for the 9 – 13 spot.
Endorsement Value of President Duterte or Vice President Robredo
63% of the voters would either support or may support candidates endorsed by President Duterte. 30% stated that his endorsement has no effect. 47% of the voters would either support or may support candidates endorsed by Vice President Robredo. 36% of the voters said her endorsement has no effect.
When asked which celebrity will have the highest endorsement value if a celebrity openly endorses a political candidate, half of the voters picked Coco Martin as their Top 1. It is also notable that Vice Ganda was the most picked for the voters’ Top 2 and Top 3 pick, with 20% and 17%, respectively.
For 43% of the NCR voters, Mindanao carrying a candidate will not have any effect on their vote. 23% of Class ABC will support a Mindanao candidate.
For Marikina, 86% would vote for Carmelita Abalos. For Manila, Isko Moreno led with 47%, who is followed by Alfredo Lim (29%) and Joseph Estrada (21%). For Quezon City, Joy Belmonte led with 59%, followed by Bingbong Crisologo (17%). For Caloocan, 90% would vote for Oca Malapitan. For Navotas, Toby Tiangco led with 54%, followed by Dan Ang (18%). For Las Pinas, Imelda Aguilar led with 68%. For Muntinlupa, Jimmy Fresnedi led with 61%, followed by Mark Marinas (12%). For Pasay, Imelda Rubiano led with 47%, followed by Chet Cuneta (5%). A lot of voters in Pasay (45%) answered they do not know who to vote yet. For Taguig, Lino Cayetano led with 76%, followed by Arnel Cerafica (15%). For Mandaluyong, Carmelita Abalos led with 58%. In Pasig, Robert Eusebio led with 76%, followed by Vico Sotto (8%). In San Juan, it is a close race between Janella Estrada (44%) and Francis Zamora (43%). For Malabon, Antolin Oreta III led with 50%, followed by Jeannie Sandoval (32%). For Valenzuela, Rex Gatchalian had 96% of voters voting for him. For Makati, Abi Binay led with 67%, followed by his brother Junjun Binay Jr. (20%). For Paranaque, Edwin Olivarez led with 46% followed by Florencio Bernabe Jr. (10%). For Pateros, Miguel Ponce III led with 52%, followed by Willie Buenaventura (17%).