PAHAYAG NCR TRACKER: LATE APRIL is an independent and non-commissioned survey conducted by PUBLiCUS between April 25 to 28, 2022.
The survey sample comprises 1,626 respondents from the National Capital Region (NCR) drawn from a market research maintained by PureSpectrum, a US-based panel marketplace with multinational presence.
The final survey research panel was restricted to registered voters. Parameters based on respondent age and gender were utilized in the sample formulation in order for the resulting sample to conform more closely to the features of the voting population, as defined by statistics from the COMELEC.
Minor adjustments were made in the sampling in PATEROS and SAN JUAN given its smaller representation in the panel marketplace of PureSpectrum.
The sample-wide margin of error of +/- 3%. The city-level margin of error for most cities is +/- 10%, +/ 12% in San Juan, and +/-14% for the Municipality of Pateros.
Note from PureSpectrum: “Samples provided by PureSpectrum are not affiliated with any bias or political party. All opinions voiced in the interpretation and analyses of the data are those of the writer and/or project sponsor.”
MAYORAL/VICE MAYORAL VOTE SHARE
Based on our data, a significant number of mayoral races in Metro Manila appear to have tightened moving into the last stretch of the campaign period. Our numbers suggest that there are now five battleground races where two or more candidates are statistically tied for first place based on the applicable city-wide margin of error. There are an additional three competitive races where one candidate enjoys a narrow but statistically significant lead.